Severe weather risk late Tuesday afternoon, evening

Headline:

…Severe Thunderstorms possible late Tuesday afternoon into late evening across portions of South-Central Texas…

Area of Concern

The Hill Country and portions of the Balcones Escarpment and including the Austin and San Antonio metropolitan cities.

Threats & Impacts:

Hail:  Up to the size of golf balls.

Winds:  Winds up to 60 MPH possible.

Tornadoes:  One or two isolated tornadoes will be possible.

Rainfall:  Localized pockets of 1-2 inches in heavier downpours. Flash flooding is not currently expected.

Timing and Overview:

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late Tuesday afternoon and persist into the early morning hours across North-Central Texas with isolated development farther south in south-Central Texas. The best support for severe storms remains across North-Central Texas. However, with plenty moisture and instability in place, strong to severe storms will be possible farther south during the 6 pm to midnight (early Wednesday morning) time frame. Areas across the northern Hill Country and the Balcones Escarpment including both Austin and San Antonio metropolitan cities are included in the slight risk of severe thunderstorms of the Day 2 Convective Outlook per the Storm Prediction Center.  Lingering and non-severe storms could affect the eastern counties through Wednesday morning.

Confidence:

- Winds/Hail: Moderate

- Rainfall:  Moderate

- Tornadoes: Low